H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Kid Now ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently considering that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now recommending that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and extremely effective hurricane that caused huge damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means hurricane conditions are anticipated in some of these locations. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy need to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists previously alerted hurricanes might form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major threats and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy